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Shant Kazanjian's avatar

A well written analysis 👏

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Gary Friedman's avatar

Thank you Dan for this comprehensive piece. The post-WWII rebuilding to Judeo-Christian ethics in today's world was spot on and brilliantly crafted. The US experience in Afghanistan was driven by the pursuit of retribution against Osama bin-Laden in Afghanistan/Pakistan and the global and successful pursuit of his followers. True, training Afghanis to move away from tribal warlordism was a profound failure. Regarding Iraq, there is one piece that you and others are unaware of the requires sharing now because of the relevance to what is about to transpire in Iran. Following the implosion of the Iraqi Revolutionary Guard as an organization, the 55-gallon drums (football field size collections) of uranium cake were being looted by Sunni and Shi'a militias. The potential to create literally hundreds of radioactive waste over Israel, Europe, and the US was front and center. Fortunately, US and UN IAEA personnel were easily able to track the radioactive waste trail and remove the threat. Iran is a more worrisome situation. Immediately prior to the June 2025 US B2 Stealth Bomber attacks, approximately 30 earth-mover sized trucks were present at the soon to be devastated nuclear R&D sites (Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan). For security reasons, the public is not read into the eventual paths these trucks took, presumably to move--not uranium cake waste--but actually 100s of kilograms of plutonium and uranium. None of us will know the extent to which (i) these transports were or were not followed to their ultimate destinations and (ii) these transports were interdicted by forces on the ground inside of Iran. In the coming days, as Iran begins to fragment, the chaotic environment will be a challenging one in which to secure all of Iran's fissile material. There is much more than "freedom for the Iranian people" at stake. Apologies if I distracted from your well-crafted piece and thank you for the opportunity to comment. Whilst Iraq only had Weapons of Mass Panic (hundreds of 55-gallon drums of uranium water), Iran has enough fissile material for approximately 12 nuclear weapons on this 3rd day of January 2026. Gary

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